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News

Will the UN approve a new Gaza ceasefire resolution in 2026?

71%

chance

YesNo

$7 Vol.

Will the European Union approve a new defense funding package in 2026?

50%

chance

YesNo

$0 Vol.

Will Taiwan's benchmark stock index ...... this quarter?

Hit a record high

50%

Yes50%No50%

Within 10% variance

50%

Yes50%No50%

$4 Vol.

Will India lift wheat export restrictions before September 30, 2026?

50%

chance

YesNo

$0 Vol.

Will South Korea pass a nationwide AI safety law in 2026?

100%

chance

YesNo

$1 Vol.

Will Japan intervene in currency markets before July 31, 2026?

50%

chance

YesNo

$0 Vol.

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